Is it possible to predict the outcome of a game?

Every week, I receive some questions about handicapping. People want to know if it's possible to get an edge over the sportsbooks at sports betting.

The answer is YES! For every casino game, the casino has an edge. This is how they make money. The game of luck will always be the same.

There is something that you should now. The random law.

If you flip a coin 1000 times, you will get approximately 500 tails and 500 faces. Not exactly but it will be around 50% of each. It's a law. This is of course over the long run.

With only 100 outcomes, it could be 60/40. It’s normal.

But when it comes to sports betting, you can bring the winning ratio to 53% and more on the long run. Just because you can use a lot of information to predict the outcome of a game. You can't have a winning ratio of 75% on the long run but 53% is very possible.

And it's enough to make some good money.

Here's how you can use mathematics to predict the outcome of a game.

Most of the outcomes of sports can be predicted mathematically. There is much debate over this but the truth is that with the right information and numbers, you can predict the outcomes of sporting events well enough to beat the spread.

The problem is more with getting the right information. Most sports are very beatable. Football and hockey are the most difficult; basketball and baseball are considered to be the easiest to beat.

The tough part with the mathematics of sports is obtaining historical information. We are lucky in that many of the necessary statistics are publicly available. Thanks to the internet!

The optimal tool for prediction is to use multiple regressions. Imagine you have a pie and each slice of the pie is one of the variables you use to predict the outcome of an event.

In the ideal, you would complete the pie and know with 100% certainty the outcome of the event. However, this never happens. More realistically you have only a limited % of the correct variables and all you can do is try to improve the % of the 'Pie' in predicting the outcome. The better the information you have, the more slices of the pie you can fill up. You will never reach 100% but you can reach up to 50% with nearly perfect information.

The information you need to know is Wins, Loses, Percentage, home record, road record, last ten, streak, injuries, team problems, etc...

One of the best places to look for this information is www.tsn.com. You'll find a lot of good information.

If you use the right information, you will beat the spread over the long run. It's not easy and it takes some time to develop skills.

But the most important thing to have success at sports betting is to have good money management and a good betting system.

Source: Frank Belanger author of the best selling ebook Bookie Buster: Secret Secret Systems Used by Pro Sports Gamblers Finally Revealed! The complete Bookie Buster ebook is more than 160 pages and show you 21 outstanding sports betting systems.